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Page last updated on Wed Sep 08 21:14:38 EDT 2010
Matchup Reports

Thursday at 12:35 PM
ATLANTA (58-42) AT WASHINGTON (43-58) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: ATLANTA
904: WASHINGTON
8.5
+128
58-42
43-58
48-46-6
42-55-4
4.6 / 3.9
4.0 / 4.6
(R) D LOWE
(L) S OLSEN
10-8
2-2
4.48
3.77
1.44
1.37
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 79.0 °
Humidity: 79   Wind: South at 4.6 MPH (4 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ATLANTALOWE-143 
WASHINGTONOLSEN +143 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games20-13+6.267-63-1.5408-289+29.819-1465-64353-316
in games played on a grass field58-42+8.1215-206-25.41163-902-49.148-46189-215980-981
against left-handed starters17-16-2.168-71-14.5336-256+1617-1471-66295-272
after a win33-24+3.4112-104-5.8714-574-64.128-2592-113595-619
when playing against a team with a losing record28-15+795-85-21621-417-20.921-1878-93487-509
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season3-5-4.638-36-17.2323-207-22.25-338-34244-262
in all games58-42+8.1216-208-26.31287-978-26.148-46190-2171076-1073
when the total is 8 to 8.526-22-290-87-23.6513-365+7.925-2386-88436-414
as a road favorite of -125 to -1508-7-1.120-20-6.9158-125-12.16-822-17141-129
in road games24-29-6.299-116-13610-523+4.426-2496-113538-545
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.59-14-6.436-41-7.6223-188-0.613-1041-36210-192
in July games12-9-0.638-35-5.4223-140+24.810-1037-34187-156
when playing on Thursday8-5+1.628-23+0.2159-105+12.67-621-28117-133
against division opponents19-18-2.891-90-14.6515-399-23.412-2277-95419-443

WASHINGTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in July games9-13-3.124-50-21.5145-221-57.811-1037-35169-178
when playing on Thursday7-6+427-31+8.6124-149+0.18-528-29121-140
against division opponents17-18+6.169-109-14.2380-518-49.315-1884-83405-444
in day games15-22-2.255-76-4.6297-373-21.317-1955-70298-336
in games played on a grass field43-58-5161-257-49.9584-826-74.142-55189-212619-718
against right-handed starters32-43-4.6118-188-33.5698-921-100.629-42131-161727-814
after a loss29-27+8.193-168-53.2522-718-96.324-28120-128553-622
when playing against a team with a winning record15-24-3.466-141-47.4418-656-91.420-1697-97504-519
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season6-7-0.328-62-18.9208-349-57.98-446-37259-270
in all games43-58-5161-263-55.9965-1240-103.942-55192-2151016-1082
when the total is 8 to 8.519-17+7.350-85-16.9340-470-75.413-2369-64383-403
as a home underdog of +100 to +1259-6+3.837-44-4139-162-8.94-935-42135-152
as a home underdog of +125 to +1506-3+5.222-15+15.285-119-3.23-617-1998-95
in home games26-22+4.793-116-16.6541-557-16.118-2895-107519-528
at home when the total is 8 to 8.511-7+5.330-36-0.7198-229-32.67-1134-32208-209
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/15/2010JURRJENS(R)MILWAUKEEBUSH(R)2-1W-1708.5 unU881670
7/16/2010HANSON(R)MILWAUKEEWOLF(L)3-9L-1758.5 unO89216101
7/17/2010HUDSON(R)MILWAUKEENARVESON(L)3-6L-1958 unO1070730
7/18/2010LOWE(R)MILWAUKEEPARRA(L)11-6W-1759 evO13611480
7/20/2010JURRJENS(R)SAN DIEGOLEBLANC(L)4-1W-1558 unU893570
7/21/2010HANSON(R)SAN DIEGOGARLAND(R)4-6L-1708 unO109012131
7/22/2010HUDSON(R)SAN DIEGORICHARD(L)8-0W-1657.5 unO13110471
7/23/2010LOWE(R)@ FLORIDASANABIA(R)6-7L-1108.5 unO11110880
7/24/2010MEDLEN(R)@ FLORIDASANCHEZ(R)10-5W-1158 unO10601182
7/25/2010JURRJENS(R)@ FLORIDAVOLSTAD(R)4-5L-1358.5 evO111101170
7/27/2010HANSON(R)@ WASHINGTONBATISTA(R)0-3L-1408 unU562640
7/28/2010HUDSON(R)@ WASHINGTONHERNANDEZ(R)3-1W-1457.5 evU890760
7/29/2010LOWE(R)@ WASHINGTONOLSEN(L) 
7/30/2010 @ CINCINNATI  
7/31/2010 @ CINCINNATI  
8/1/2010 @ CINCINNATI  
8/2/2010 NY METS  
8/3/2010 NY METS  
8/4/2010 NY METS  
8/5/2010 SAN FRANCISCO  

WASHINGTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/16/2010STRASBURG(R)@ FLORIDANOLASCO(R)4-0W-1207 unU840480
7/17/2010HERNANDEZ(R)@ FLORIDAJOHNSON(R)0-2L2257.5 unU11101441
7/18/2010STAMMEN(R)@ FLORIDASANABIA(R)0-1L1259 evU8916100
7/19/2010MARTIN(R)@ CINCINNATICUETO(R)2-7L1559 unP4801041
7/20/2010ATILANO(R)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)7-8L1709 ovO851951
7/21/2010STRASBURG(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)8-5W-1257 ovO9501091
7/22/2010HERNANDEZ(R)@ CINCINNATIVOLQUEZ(R)7-1W1608.5 unU1060750
7/23/2010STAMMEN(R)@ MILWAUKEENARVESON(L)5-7L1309.5 unO730950
7/24/2010MARTIN(R)@ MILWAUKEEPARRA(L)3-4L1159.5 unU75011100
7/25/2010DETWILER(L)@ MILWAUKEEBUSH(R)3-8L1359.5 unO972752
7/27/2010BATISTA(R)ATLANTAHANSON(R)3-0W+1308 unU640562
7/28/2010HERNANDEZ(R)ATLANTAHUDSON(R)1-3L+1357.5 evU760890
7/29/2010OLSEN(L)ATLANTALOWE(R) 
7/30/2010 PHILADELPHIA  
7/31/2010 PHILADELPHIA  
8/1/2010 PHILADELPHIA  
8/2/2010 @ ARIZONA  
8/3/2010 @ ARIZONA  
8/4/2010 @ ARIZONA  
8/5/2010 @ ARIZONA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games58-42+8.148-464.60.2610.3413.90.2470.315
Road Games24-29-6.226-244.30.2530.3364.10.2570.326
vs Left-handed Starters17-16-2.117-144.60.2610.3384.10.2530.322
Past 7 Games3-4-2.65-25.00.2640.3363.90.2410.306
Grass Games58-42+8.148-464.60.2610.3413.90.2470.315
Day Games20-13+6.219-145.60.2770.3674.00.2450.309
Division19-18-2.812-223.70.2450.3243.40.2490.306
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2610.3411003378882198830.0243940870144782917011061
Road Games4.30.2530.33653184246699410.022182303932343851365634
Lefty Starters4.60.2610.33833113029563240.021441322411226328244314
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.241.275288.71151042452212330420-10251169.4%
Road Games3.311.333144625312712651519-910758.8%

WASHINGTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games43-58-542-554.00.2570.3204.60.2690.332
Home Games26-22+4.718-284.00.2750.3384.20.2620.318
vs Right-handed Starters32-43-4.629-424.00.2540.3154.50.2670.328
Past 7 Games3-4-0.13-44.30.2380.2734.00.2470.310
Grass Games43-58-542-554.00.2570.3204.60.2690.332
Day Games15-22-2.217-194.00.2580.3184.50.2660.324
Division17-18+6.115-183.90.2590.3324.70.2640.341
WASHINGTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2570.3201013370865199860.033963157377070593808140
Home Games4.00.2750.338481596439106440.031821523182835849384326
Righty Starters4.00.2540.315752476629140590.022872205385150070646029
WASHINGTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.591.345325.71481303063013228217-22271465.9%
Home Games3.031.1861726458142136215314-618869.2%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
DEREK LOWE recent results and season statistics
DEREK LOWE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.481.43610-821124.75.9646212912508111-10-0.510-9
Road Starts4.781.5783-511645.8343469632434-7-2.64-6
Last 3 Starts4.961.7761-1316.35.4992148151-2-1.12-1
DEREK LOWE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/23/2010at FLORIDA6-7-1108.5Loss,Over 5.7445156SANABIA(R)
7/18/2010MILWAUKEE11-6-1759Win,OverW5.3338215PARRA(L)
7/11/2010at NY METS0-3+1257Loss,UnderL5.3228124SANTANA(L)

SCOTT OLSEN recent results and season statistics
SCOTT OLSEN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.771.3722-28435.4191845314324-4+2.23-5
Home Starts5.121.3971-2419.34.812112126182-2+0.11-3
Last 3 Starts4.201.6670-13155.077201560-3-3.51-2
SCOTT OLSEN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/21/2010BALTIMORE3-5-1509Loss,UnderL3446131HERNANDEZ(R)
5/16/2010at COLORADO1-2+1209.5Loss,Under 6.7115013FRANCIS(L)
5/11/2010at NY METS6-8+1258Loss,Over 5.3229012NIESE(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 24-20 (+14.2 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
23 of 41 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)
Games this season
WASHINGTON is 4-4 (+1.4 Units) against ATLANTA this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

All games at WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 14-9 (+7.5 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
15 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.7 Units)
Games played at WASHINGTON this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+1.6 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/28/2010ATLANTA3-145  80290HUDSON(R)W7.7171
 WASHINGTON1+1357.5 evUnder70060HERNANDEZ(R)L4.3362
7/27/2010ATLANTA0-140 Under50062HANSON(R)L6160
 WASHINGTON3+1308 unWin60440BATISTA(R)W5031
6/30/2010WASHINGTON1+150 Under80080MARTIN(R)L5362
 ATLANTA4-1608.5 unWin70090JURRJENS(R)W5162
6/29/2010WASHINGTON7+180  111280STAMMEN(R)W7.3252
 ATLANTA2-1909 un 50051LOWE(R)L5.7482
6/28/2010WASHINGTON0+105 Under50081STRASBURG(R)L6.3362
 ATLANTA5-1156.5 evWin80042HUDSON(R)W7053
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
DEREK LOWE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LOWE is 6-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.347.
His team's record is 8-5 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.8 units)
DEREK LOWE recent starts vs. WASHINGTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/29/2010WASHINGTON2-7-1909LossL5.7448025STAMMEN(R)
10/2/2009WASHINGTON3-6-1909LossL4.7658154HERNANDEZ(R)
9/27/2009at WASHINGTON6-3-2009.5Win,Under 6337323HERNANDEZ(R)

SCOTT OLSEN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
OLSEN is 3-5 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 6-7 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.6 units)
SCOTT OLSEN recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/6/2010ATLANTA3-2+1208.5Win,Under 7.3212018HUDSON(R)
7/5/2009ATLANTA5-3+1309.5Win,UnderW8.7338155LOWE(R)
4/12/2009at ATLANTA5-8+1709Loss,OverL5556033JURRJENS(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ATLANTA in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (946-880, -24.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 51.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (190-177, -12.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (885-863, -46.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 53.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (188-162, +21.5 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (727-739, -111.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 48.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (116-124, -24.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (707-693, -81.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 47.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (113-124, -26.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ATLANTA
[P] 06/17/2010 - Chris Resop 15-day DL (6/16) ( Oblique )
[P] 07/15/2010 - Eric O'Flaherty 15-day DL (7/15) ( Infection )
WASHINGTON
[P] 04/04/2010 - Chien-Ming Wang 60-day DL (4/4) ( Shoulder )
[P] 02/28/2010 - Jordan Zimmerman 60-day DL (2/19) ( Shoulder )
[C] 04/04/2010 - Jesus Flores 60-day DL (4/4) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/15/2010 - Garrett Mock 60-day DL (4/11) ( Back )
[P] 04/21/2010 - Jason Marquis 15-day DL (4/19) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/28/2010 - Scott Olsen 15-day DL (5/21), expected to be activated & start Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/29/2010 - Tyler Walker 15-day DL (6/28) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/22/2010 - Luis Atilano 15-day DL (7/21) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/25/2010 - J.D. Martin 15-day DL (7/24) ( Back )
[P] 07/27/2010 - Stephen Strasburg "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers ( Shoulder )
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